Researchers

Lauren Hoehn-Velasco; Jose Roberto Balmori de la Miyar; Adan Silverio-Murillo; Sherajum Monira Farin

Abstract

In this study, we consider the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on family formation and dissolution. We use national microdata covering all marriages and divorces in Mexico and an event-study design. Our findings indicate that over March through December of 2020, marriage rates declined by 54% and divorce rates by 43%. By the end of 2020, divorce rates recover back to baseline levels, but marriage rates remain 30% below the 2017-2019 baseline level. Overall, our findings indicate that marital dissolutions quickly recovered (6 months into the pandemic), but family formation may be delayed or even permanently reduced.

Project Outcomes of Interest

Marriage rates

Key Findings

Our findings indicate that over March through December of 2020, marriage rates declined by 54% and divorce rates by 43%. By the end of 2020, divorce rates recover back to baseline levels, but marriage rates remain 30% below the 2017-2019 baseline level. Overall, our findings indicate that marital dissolutions quickly recovered (6 months into the pandemic), but family formation may be delayed or even permanently reduced.

Link to Results

Social Science Research Network (October 2021)

Impact Goals

Project Data Collection Mode

Link to Public Data

https://www.inegi.org.mx/programas/nupcialidad/?ps=microdatos

Results Status

Results